Did the thermal resistance of the atmosphere increase?

 

Although the temperature at the surface level of the earth is + 15 [°C] (+59 [°F]), when observed from space the temperature of the planet is -19 [°C] (+2.2 [°F]) (see the folder Global Warming Part I).

atmosphere

The temperature at the surface level of the earth remains at +15 [°C] (+59 [°F]) due to the fact that some solar rays are neither immediately reflected towards space nor immediately absorbed by the atmosphere. A large proportion of these rays penetrates through the atmosphere and reaches the ground. As a result the ground warms up and in return emits infrared rays.

The atmosphere captures 87% of these infrared rays coming from the ground, which allows the planet to keep its temperature around +15 [°C] (+59 [°F]) around the surface level while having a temperature of -19 [°C] (+2.2 [°F]) at 5,000 [m] altitude (according to measurements obtained with weather balloons).

In addition, the -19 [°C] (+2.2 [°F]) temperature is the one that allows the planet to discharge towards space the heat it receives from the sun and from the center of the earth as radiation.

As we have seen in the previous paragraphs, the variation or non variation of the temperature for which the planet is observed from space specifies the interpretation of Global Warming.

  • If this temperature increased as much as the temperature at the surface level, the increase in thermal flux transmitted towards space is actually 60 times greater than our energy production. This could only be caused by a variation in solar activity, or a worse hypothesis is that it is due to an increase in the value of the absorption coefficient of our atmosphere.
  • If this temperature did not vary, the hypothesis of a variation of solar activity or of the absorption coefficient of the atmosphere could not be plausible, because of the non increase in thermal flux emitted towards space. The temperature increase at the surface level could then be due to our human activity because of an increase in the thermal resistance of the atmosphere.

Because the variation of the rays emitted towards space to be detected is small, it is unlikely an analysis could have been performed based on the measures obtained by spatial probes over the past ten years.

For lack of better data, we are going to study the evolution of temperatures at 1,000 [m] and 4,400 [m] altitude measured by weather balloons between 1999 and 2008.

It is not obvious that the air temperature at around 5,000 [m] perfectly represents the temperature of the rays emitted by the planet. Therefore, part of the infrared rays emitted towards space (around 17%) comes directly from the surface of the earth.
However, the fact that this altitude corresponds closely to the equal sharing of superior and inferior layers of the atmosphere as far as their mass is concerned allows us to consider a certain correlation.

atmosphere ballon

graph1

Average temperature at 1,000 meters altitude in 1999 and 2008  [°C]

graph2

Average temperature at 1,000 meters altitude in 1999 and 2008  [°F]

graph3

Average temperature at 4,400 meters altitude in 1999 and 2008  [°C]

graph4

Average temperature at 4,400 meters altitude in 1999 and 2008  [°F]

Source AMSU-A Temperatures

Question:
If we compare the temperatures measured at 1,000 [m] and 4,400 [m], does the thermal resistance of the atmosphere seem to have increased between 1999 and 2008?